LisaAllen4630
0xc7e4e9ca99618573d022b95d3e4893f960e5b332
- Realised P&L
- $871.97
- Volume
- $180.8k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $159.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.110Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$222.14at 0.782Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$117.04at 0.520Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
- +$88.37at 0.660Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?
- +$86.84at 0.230Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-11 13:23 | Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.154 | $13.86 |
| 01-11 11:29 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $122.85 |
| 01-11 03:54 | Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | SELL | 0.152 | $120.69 |
| 01-10 21:00 | Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $79.90 |
| 01-10 20:08 | Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.782 | $796.86 |
| 01-10 20:04 | Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $79.90 |
| 01-10 19:41 | Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | SELL | 0.21 | $10.71 |
| 01-10 18:35 | Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | BUY | 0.185 | $158.54 |
| 01-10 17:49 | Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | SELL | 0.181 | $11.95 |
| 01-10 17:15 | Celonis IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $554.07 |
| 01-10 16:19 | Celonis IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $562.10 |
| 01-10 16:17 | Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.84 | $315.00 |
| 01-10 15:17 | Celonis IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $389.16 |
| 01-10 14:14 | Celonis IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $394.80 |
| 01-10 12:37 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $453.90 |