PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Vincent44230

0xc78bd4be80c847996f56ddb5834f0c2e4f382ca5

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$297.9k
Markets traded
450
Open portfolio
$408.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded450
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.3500.385$242.00+$22.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.1740.145$166.76$33.24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? · No0.6450.000$0.00$150.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down0.2060.000$0.00$6.86
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Yes0.2850.000$0.00$600.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Down0.0510.000$0.00$3.00
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? · Yes0.3070.000$0.00$53.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.0320.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:56Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3499999993$220.00
08-02 13:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-02 13:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.08$2.00
08-02 13:10Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.1738993493$200.00
08-01 22:02Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.2298379986$330.00
08-01 20:49Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.128545573$47.36
08-01 06:39Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2089999982$77.00
07-31 21:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
07-31 21:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.0299999857$2.00
07-31 21:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-31 21:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-31 21:56Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?SELL0.22$78.57
07-31 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSELL0.13$3.25
07-31 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.0599999724$2.00
07-31 08:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.4$10.00