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Traders

Luke-skywalker

0xc6d2dc0a633a8ab5288489b5c385f4bed18f395b

Realised P&L
$-536.39
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$541.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8930.915$481.35+$11.35
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8740.935$13.37+$0.88
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · No0.6150.735$11.95+$1.95
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.8700.983$5.65+$0.65
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.950$5.11+$0.11
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9360.950$5.07+$0.07
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.935$4.97$0.03
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.925$4.92$0.08
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7900.745$4.72$0.28
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.922$2.14+$0.00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7100.875$1.23+$0.23
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2000.135$0.68$0.32
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 19:34Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?BUY0.16$1.00
05-20 19:28Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?SELL0.53$4.27
05-20 19:00Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
05-19 06:16Will Solana dip to $80 in May?SELL0.5413065154$31.49
05-18 18:14Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?SELL0.983$15.35
05-18 06:11Will Solana dip to $80 in May?BUY0.64$10.00
05-18 06:10Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.9199999998$160.00
05-18 06:09Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.61$149.08
05-17 05:02Will Solana dip to $80 in May?BUY0.4699999929$20.00
05-12 16:41Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.6$10.00
05-11 09:32Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.6314501648$20.00
05-11 05:15Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?BUY0.975$10.00
05-11 04:43Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?BUY0.9599999616$10.00
05-10 20:41Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.946$5.02
05-10 20:40Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?SELL0.5914040562$75.82