0xc6d1928575df665a7d5d90d20c7dd0fc403bf7b6
- Realised P&L
- $6.61
- Volume
- $108.63
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $16.13
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.765 | $2.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.850 | $2.70 | +$0.70 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4? · Yes | 0.742 | 0.969 | $2.61 | +$0.61 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.999 | $2.59 | +$0.59 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.275 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.305 | $1.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.375 | $1.13 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.71at 0.350Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.510Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?
- +$1.86at 0.380Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.74at 0.420Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$1.69at 0.540Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:38 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7419999303 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:33 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:32 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 17:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 09:31 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:48 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:11 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:50 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:52 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 19:51 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.26 |
| 07-31 11:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |
| 07-30 20:21 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |
| 07-30 04:33 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |