atr23143
0xc6a2b74ed828c0296817f0c4da3128b6b8039524
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $60.0k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $28.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.57at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$113.69at 0.260Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$81.50at 0.269Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
- +$58.93at 0.403Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$55.14at 0.434Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:22 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.003 | $8.89 |
| 08-05 06:21 | Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.002 | $3.33 |
| 08-05 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $6.41 |
| 08-05 06:21 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.43 |
| 08-05 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.0730793925 | $5.92 |
| 08-05 03:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0208699799 | $3.85 |
| 08-05 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.0159229584 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 03:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1857082786 | $40.00 |
| 08-05 03:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3016493362 | $30.00 |
| 08-05 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 03:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.0017922914 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 03:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |