PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PukPuk

0xc69726e0f0d9f39505846e93d599d608106aadef

Realised P&L
$-6.74
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$16.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$12.75$2.25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · Yes0.0400.013$1.35$2.65
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.065$1.00+$0.39
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0020.002$1.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 22:04Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.16$16.00
07-24 22:03Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.17$17.00
07-06 00:35Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.5$27.85
07-06 00:34Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999944$28.41
07-06 00:26Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
07-02 00:11Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.002$1.00
11-06 06:49Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$4.00