PukPuk
0xc69726e0f0d9f39505846e93d599d608106aadef
- Realised P&L
- $-6.74
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $16.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.085 | $12.75 | −$2.25 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.013 | $1.35 | −$2.65 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.065 | $1.00 | +$0.39 |
| Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.71at 0.280Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.56at 0.510Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.170Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
- +$-1.33at 0.009Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 22:04 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 07-24 22:03 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 07-06 00:35 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5 | $27.85 |
| 07-06 00:34 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999944 | $28.41 |
| 07-06 00:26 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 00:11 | Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 11-06 06:49 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.00 |