PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nullpointa

0xc617506a2502a36e8c52e2889e68e11398130d15

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$767.6k
Markets traded
4,349
Open portfolio
$8.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,349
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? · Yes0.0590.157$3.13+$1.95
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.270$2.16+$1.92
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.017$0.82$9.18
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.009$0.45$9.55
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.0430.024$0.31$0.25
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0300.019$0.16$0.09
Will TJ Rumfield win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0220.026$0.14+$0.02
Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.0560.013$0.13$0.43
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1000.022$0.11$0.37
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.10$2.52
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.10$2.52
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.10$2.52
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.10$2.52
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.10$2.52
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.10$2.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 05:42Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.101$2.02
07-16 12:07Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.23$1.15
07-16 08:15Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.26$1.30
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.4% in July?BUY0.98$5.88
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.5% in July?BUY0.999$5.99
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.39$2.34
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% in July?BUY0.998$5.99
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.6% in July?BUY0.98$5.88
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?BUY0.88$5.28
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.7% or more in July?BUY0.998$5.99
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.2% in July?BUY0.997$5.98
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?BUY0.88$5.28
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.76$4.56
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.6% in July?BUY0.98$5.88
07-16 06:19Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.39$2.34