nullpointa
0xc617506a2502a36e8c52e2889e68e11398130d15
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $767.6k
- Markets traded
- 4,349
- Open portfolio
- $8.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,349
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.063Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$4.3kat 0.080Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$4.2kat 0.060Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.1kat 0.120Will France win on 2026-06-22?
- +$3.3kat 0.052Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 05:42 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.101 | $2.02 |
| 07-16 12:07 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 07-16 08:15 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.4% in July? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.5% in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.34 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.6% in July? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.28 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.7% or more in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.2% in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.98 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.28 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.56 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.6% in July? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.88 |
| 07-16 06:19 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.34 |