will-willing
0xc5c6ce4acfa2038143fe70999e19940692de409a
- Realised P&L
- $12.12
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $59.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.80at 0.540Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 22?
- +$10.20at 0.745Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 28?
- +$9.95at 0.668Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?
- +$6.95at 0.768Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 19?
- +$3.34at 0.889Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 08-08 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 08-08 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-08 02:58 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 08-08 01:42 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 08-08 01:23 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.987 | $4.93 |
| 08-08 01:04 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-07 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |