Olivefvb
0xc506fb2f6f2874923f1b103e674054d092ebd0a7
- Realised P&L
- $-51.12
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $19.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.875 | $19.25 | +$3.19 |
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.09 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.43at 0.500Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$79.52at 0.500Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2025 US Open?
- +$27.34at 0.500Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$26.39at 0.500Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$26.34at 0.500Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:21 | Will Johnny Garrett be the TN-06 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.73 | $16.06 |
| 07-24 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24? | BUY | 0.78 | $29.09 |
| 07-01 06:44 | Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $27.60 |
| 06-18 09:51 | Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | BUY | 0.74 | $21.46 |
| 06-03 03:12 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 06-03 03:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 06-03 03:12 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.998 | $30.94 |
| 05-25 06:55 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $21.00 |
| 05-19 03:38 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20? | BUY | 0.62 | $16.93 |
| 04-09 01:56 | Will the price of Solana be above $30 on April 12? | BUY | 0.9989999593 | $24.00 |
| 03-28 06:55 | Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $41.83 |
| 03-28 06:55 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March? | BUY | 0.999000001 | $5.00 |
| 03-28 06:55 | Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.13 |
| 03-28 06:54 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in March? | BUY | 0.999000001 | $7.00 |
| 03-16 08:54 | Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $52.84 |