gavrilak89
0xc4ccb03b638b30851d6981db8aeaeb3351d12a5e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $302.7k
- Markets traded
- 918
- Open portfolio
- $446.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded918
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.31at 0.836Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on June 4?
- +$142.58at 0.655Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4?
- +$121.23at 0.765Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 2?
- +$101.63at 0.718Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?
- +$95.59at 0.771Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 21:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.32 |
| 08-05 20:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 08-05 20:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9046125461 | $9.81 |
| 08-05 20:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.8585057471 | $74.69 |
| 08-05 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-05 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 08-05 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.8827675988 | $18.31 |
| 08-05 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.98 | $112.70 |
| 08-05 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.86 | $78.75 |
| 08-05 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.98 | $78.40 |
| 08-05 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $37.80 |
| 08-05 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.88 | $75.48 |
| 08-05 18:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.82 | $53.30 |
| 08-05 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $88.33 |
| 08-05 18:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.50 |