otter00
0xc4b1542335b908e583ccb8e615216c3023852f2a
- Realised P&L
- $76.29
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $74.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.40at 0.184Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$66.29at 0.340Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?
- +$55.70at 0.100Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
- +$42.22at 0.180Cardano ETF in 2025?
- +$42.00at 0.460Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 18:14 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5975 | $11.95 |
| 06-19 13:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 06-11 18:29 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.60 |
| 06-05 11:27 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.20 |
| 06-04 19:58 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 06-04 19:58 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.084 | $8.40 |
| 04-25 22:14 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $14.22 |
| 04-03 20:13 | Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $15.66 |
| 03-09 10:53 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 02-23 12:53 | Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.046 | $4.03 |
| 01-28 14:49 | Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.43 |
| 01-27 19:54 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.21 | $3.15 |
| 01-27 19:54 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.21 | $3.15 |
| 01-26 11:31 | Zama auction clearing price above $0.05? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.40 |
| 01-24 18:23 | New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $27.00 |