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Balalayka

0xc4488d7568c58c258f53e1395ba72dcf6a3c085e

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$336.6k
Markets traded
2,004
Open portfolio
$135.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,004
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:27Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?SELL0.001$0.02
08-04 10:08Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.938$18.76
08-03 18:38Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 4?SELL0.038$1.14
08-03 10:59Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.999$16.48
08-03 10:33Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.999$199.80
08-03 04:30Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group ASELL0.43$4.30
06-09 17:52Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 9?SELL0.078$0.09
06-07 15:13Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 7?SELL0.056$1.25
06-06 20:49Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 7?SELL0.069$0.61
06-04 12:32Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4?BUY0.999$39.96
06-03 10:39Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 3?BUY0.97$4.85
05-25 23:28Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 26?SELL0.0607778894$1.21
05-24 17:32Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?SELL0.02$0.14
05-22 22:35Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?BUY0.993$4.96
05-16 11:18Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 16?BUY0.999$39.96
Trader Balalayka · PolyBot