Minus123
0xc43df4fed57b714d12185a63b9798ff51fde79a5
- Realised P&L
- $92.28
- Volume
- $70.4k
- Markets traded
- 793
- Open portfolio
- $605.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded793
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $100.00 | +$0.10 |
| Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Time Waves - Map 1 Winner · Ground Zero | 0.999 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$0.05 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$0.95 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner · Dplus KIA Challengers | 0.998 | 0.999 | $99.85 | +$0.05 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group · Dplus KIA Challengers | 0.999 | 0.998 | $99.80 | −$0.10 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner · Nongshim Esports Academy | 0.999 | 0.996 | $99.60 | −$0.30 |
| Set 1 Winner: Boyer vs Claverie · Boyer | 0.999 | 1.000 | $6.62 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.980Samsun: Ergi Kirkin vs Paul Inchauspe
- +$2.07at 0.979Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
- +$2.00at 0.980Samsun: Max Basing vs Sidharth Rawat
- +$2.00at 0.980Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Alesia Breaz
- +$1.58at 0.984Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 12:07 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-05 12:07 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-05 12:07 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-05 04:29 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.99559988 | $99.53 |
| 08-04 14:01 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.91 |
| 08-04 13:33 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $870 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-04 13:07 | Counter-Strike: Finishers vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group A | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-04 12:32 | Will the US Trade Deficit be between $60 billion and $70 billion in June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-04 11:21 | Istanbul 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Paul Inchauspe | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-04 10:48 | Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-04 00:23 | ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Ava Catanzarite vs Martina Okalova | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-03 10:44 | Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-02 06:52 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? | BUY | 0.9793197 | $97.93 |
| 08-02 05:51 | Dota 2: Stray Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-01 23:49 | Set 2 Winner: Nakashima vs Fritz | BUY | 0.999 | $53.95 |