bsdgddddx
0xc41d37999b0b61c3fe810056723177db76a843d4
- Realised P&L
- $-478.90
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $4.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.175 | $3.64 | −$0.31 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.003 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.70at 0.239Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$98.65at 0.189Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$98.00at 0.010Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$93.41at 0.370Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$87.97at 0.268Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 12:47 | China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999673 | $3.95 |
| 07-30 06:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 06:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 06:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 06:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2754097732 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 06:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 06:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 06:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 06:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 06:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | SELL | 0.3359225923 | $3.73 |
| 07-30 06:16 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 06:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 06:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 06:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 05:56 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.34 | $13.60 |