0xC3406A54130D36e4eC800cD7d8DBfe03453C9568-1772422821315
0xc3406a54130d36e4ec800cd7d8dbfe03453c9568
- Realised P&L
- $7.02
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $162.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.500Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
- +$6.00at 0.500Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?
- +$5.98at 0.500Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?
- +$5.96at 0.500Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$5.96at 0.500Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 03:06 | Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.935 | $11.22 |
| 03-30 06:30 | Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.18 |
| 03-30 06:27 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.08 |
| 03-30 06:27 | Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 03-30 06:23 | US strike on Colombia by March 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 03-30 06:23 | Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-30 06:15 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 03-07 14:09 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9190035932 | $7.81 |
| 03-07 14:07 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.93 | $8.37 |
| 03-07 13:51 | Will Solana reach $120 in March? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.97 |
| 03-07 12:40 | Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.16 |
| 03-04 09:47 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.36 |
| 03-02 12:46 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison? | BUY | 0.9152705882 | $7.78 |
| 03-02 12:36 | Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $7.78 |
| 03-02 12:02 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.74 |