rainsete
0xc3279401e77b184059b49949e65e2cdfe3c2a66e
- Realised P&L
- $-9.55
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $2.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Seahawks · Seahawks | 0.670 | 0.665 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.920 | 0.893 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on August 4? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Kira Pavlova · Kira Pavlova | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3) · India | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.36at 0.440New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$5.53at 0.690UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$4.37at 0.774LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
- +$1.13at 0.640Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova
- +$0.99at 0.910Pistons vs. Wizards
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:49 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 04:00 | Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 02:06 | ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Kira Pavlova | BUY | 0.3499999926 | $26.00 |
| 05-07 05:58 | New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 05:57 | Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 04-13 02:54 | LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.7744600193 | $14.80 |
| 03-19 03:22 | Pistons vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 03:20 | UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6899999849 | $12.30 |
| 02-04 04:17 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 01-14 02:19 | International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3) | BUY | 0.8099999554 | $2.00 |
| 12-05 03:38 | Sharks vs. Stars | BUY | 0.7099999773 | $1.88 |
| 11-10 03:20 | U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown? | BUY | 0.9399996475 | $1.76 |
| 10-23 02:36 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:04 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.9819999932 | $1.73 |
| 10-08 02:04 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025? | SELL | 0.966 | $2.73 |