emtf
0xc327160887453b4e7e2e6c0964c854055c79d803
- Realised P&L
- $622.33
- Volume
- $261.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,346
- Open portfolio
- $251.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,346
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$408.93at 0.074Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?
- +$331.75at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?
- +$182.57at 0.395Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
- +$152.61at 0.473Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 10?
- +$139.43at 0.140Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.30 |
| 08-08 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.45 |
| 08-08 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 8? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.61 |
| 08-08 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 8? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-08 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.39 |
| 08-08 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.27 | $26.89 |
| 08-08 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.21 |
| 08-08 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5327806122 | $8.35 |
| 08-08 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-08 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-08 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.69 |
| 08-08 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.82 |
| 08-08 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 08-08 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $0.28 |