0xc2e5562f94b35bc5e740cb797f1409db99bb78e1
- Realised P&L
- $3.39
- Volume
- $265.47
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $9.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.48at 0.054Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
- +$7.21at 0.120Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?
- +$2.36at 0.317Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.40at 0.440SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$1.24at 0.470United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 05:42 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | SELL | 0.82 | $8.36 |
| 07-22 04:06 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.3499998091 | $1.10 |
| 07-19 20:39 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.404999838 | $1.10 |
| 07-19 15:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6949999716 | $1.10 |
| 07-15 04:41 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3174998882 | $1.10 |
| 07-14 18:24 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4974998349 | $1.10 |
| 07-07 17:24 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.52 | $0.66 |
| 07-07 17:24 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6099998004 | $1.10 |
| 07-07 14:55 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8599999687 | $1.10 |
| 07-06 14:56 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4699998804 | $1.10 |
| 07-06 11:24 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3399998084 | $1.10 |
| 07-03 06:44 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.58 | $1.10 |
| 07-03 06:00 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9299996449 | $1.10 |
| 06-29 07:32 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | SELL | 0.1199128713 | $1.21 |
| 06-26 11:53 | Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.10 |