qiaokantu
0xc2d0c8df7497e67eb87f1b3cb764378b14e21029
- Realised P&L
- $-35.53
- Volume
- $85.3k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $81.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.39at 0.060Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 11?
- +$5.78at 0.903Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$4.22at 0.932Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 14?
- +$3.95at 0.940Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5AM ET
- +$3.87at 0.945Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 01:46 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 5? | BUY | 0.0070067638 | $1.49 |
| 07-28 21:43 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 29? | BUY | 0.0220000004 | $1.68 |
| 07-21 00:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.018 | $3.51 |
| 07-09 02:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 9? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.85 |
| 05-30 22:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.54 |
| 03-31 12:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $19.55 |
| 01-30 06:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 30? | BUY | 0.0140000001 | $2.13 |
| 01-27 00:13 | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars | BUY | 0.0610000015 | $2.70 |
| 01-22 04:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.0569999845 | $3.30 |
| 01-19 01:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.0349999864 | $2.46 |
| 01-19 00:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.034999986 | $2.39 |
| 01-19 00:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 19? | BUY | 0.0489999813 | $2.37 |
| 01-18 23:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 19? | BUY | 0.0449999773 | $1.83 |
| 01-18 16:17 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.0170000002 | $1.57 |
| 01-18 06:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18? | BUY | 0.0549999831 | $2.91 |