0xC21e1344E89218Db6C082F27602BEA93d272442b-1772242630805
0xc21e1344e89218db6c082f27602bea93d272442b
- Realised P&L
- $-578.38
- Volume
- $25.8k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $881.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.110 | $555.17 | −$843.32 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.205 | $326.14 | −$23.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$496.13at 0.536US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$402.79at 0.080Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 23:00 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999996 | $350.00 |
| 05-07 20:35 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2200485084 | $362.90 |
| 04-06 00:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.5899999994 | $973.03 |
| 04-05 06:30 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.2770945275 | $1.4k |
| 04-04 01:45 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.4k |
| 03-24 23:00 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5355512279 | $902.37 |
| 03-22 14:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.1445768128 | $901.80 |
| 03-02 04:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $499.00 |