121de
0xc0aee94cb6d2b85478ad60c01f4c3f94ffd5bcc7
- Realised P&L
- $80.15
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $20.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.45at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 2?
- +$24.45at 0.358Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?
- +$22.40at 0.217Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?
- +$18.66at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1?
- +$16.18at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.28108 | $2.81 |
| 08-04 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-04 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 08-03 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.18 |
| 08-03 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 08-02 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 08-02 10:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 07-31 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 07-31 21:45 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.93 |
| 07-31 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.395 | $3.95 |
| 07-31 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 07-31 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |