bigorders
0xc032bc3715440be1b6daa48b42a49b325c3afa0f
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $81.5k
- Markets traded
- 425
- Open portfolio
- $8.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded425
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.594Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.2kat 0.179Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.290Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$1.1kat 0.414Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$746.81at 0.571Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999652 | $1.93 |
| 08-08 16:02 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 9? | BUY | 0.5099999749 | $9.56 |
| 08-08 11:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.84 |
| 08-07 03:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.94 |
| 08-07 02:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.2055390547 | $1.82 |
| 08-07 01:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.1935828877 | $1.81 |
| 08-06 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.90 |
| 08-06 04:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.3499999162 | $1.88 |
| 08-06 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.11 |
| 08-05 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999179 | $1.91 |
| 08-05 04:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1224726836 | $1.78 |
| 08-04 16:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.149999933 | $1.79 |
| 08-04 16:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1413157291 | $1.79 |
| 08-04 16:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999221 | $1.87 |
| 08-04 16:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999221 | $1.87 |