PolyBot

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Traders

bigorders

0xc032bc3715440be1b6daa48b42a49b325c3afa0f

Realised P&L
$4.9k
Volume
$81.5k
Markets traded
425
Open portfolio
$8.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded425
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ethereum Up or Down on August 9? · Up0.5100.415$7.78$1.78
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$1.41
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Up0.4630.000$0.00$143.46
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.92
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6250.000$0.00$46.92
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5010.000$0.00$163.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.8400.000$0.00$1.93
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2390.000$0.00$53.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.0240.000$0.00$11.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.93
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$9.64
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.3240.000$0.00$4.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$1.69
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$3.83
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$6.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 03:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.5599999652$1.93
08-08 16:02Ethereum Up or Down on August 9?BUY0.5099999749$9.56
08-08 11:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.25$1.84
08-07 03:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.98$1.94
08-07 02:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10PM ETBUY0.2055390547$1.82
08-07 01:59Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 9PM ETBUY0.1935828877$1.81
08-06 14:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.4$1.90
08-06 04:31Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.3499999162$1.88
08-06 04:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 12AM ETBUY0.04$1.11
08-05 10:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.5599999179$1.91
08-05 04:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETBUY0.1224726836$1.78
08-04 16:42Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.149999933$1.79
08-04 16:42Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.1413157291$1.79
08-04 16:42Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.2599999221$1.87
08-04 16:42Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.2599999221$1.87