mclovin9999
0xbff193aea3f982327c9ca2679f7b9f6480ba7bb7
- Realised P&L
- $-12.74
- Volume
- $417.14
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.015 | $0.87 | −$4.72 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $100-$105 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.39 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $105-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.27at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9?
- +$-0.14at 0.243Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$-0.72at 0.043Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?
- +$-0.89at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?
- +$-1.03at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 10:30 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.31 |
| 08-09 09:38 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.28 |
| 08-08 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4299998422 | $1.39 |
| 08-08 23:44 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0147915865 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.18 |
| 08-08 23:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 08-08 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.27 |
| 08-08 12:18 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2429998808 | $1.45 |
| 08-08 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.228969476 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0136246904 | $1.21 |
| 08-08 12:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0429999606 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 12:10 | Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.0464618157 | $2.59 |
| 08-06 11:46 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $105-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 11:45 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $100-$105 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |