Aurebrook
0xbfe9632443eb78e57c1a31adb10a595598c39c2b
- Realised P&L
- $-577.89
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $14.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-26.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? · No | 0.700 | 0.565 | $14.53 | −$3.47 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on April 10? · Down | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.16 |
| England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$530.00 |
| Popyrin vs. Svajda: Match O/U 40.5 · Under | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.05at 0.688US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
- +$5.46at 0.790Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 12?
- +$5.38at 0.875US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$1.74at 0.852Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.11at 0.950Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 12:19 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? | BUY | 0.6999999961 | $18.00 |
| 07-09 02:44 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $21.00 |
| 07-01 10:15 | England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5399999998 | $530.00 |
| 06-13 03:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.8519999894 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 12:55 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.9561207001 | $63.37 |
| 05-29 07:52 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.8749999868 | $58.00 |
| 05-29 07:52 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $56.05 |
| 05-27 08:52 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | BUY | 0.6876256636 | $47.00 |
| 05-26 05:29 | Popyrin vs. Svajda: Match O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $8.00 |
| 05-26 05:29 | Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B? | SELL | 0.79 | $58.37 |
| 05-24 08:30 | Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B? | BUY | 0.8099999936 | $59.85 |
| 05-24 08:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.4 | $59.72 |
| 05-23 03:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.7099999944 | $106.00 |
| 05-23 03:07 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | SELL | 0.9765543237 | $105.70 |
| 05-22 07:53 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | BUY | 0.9699999966 | $105.00 |