PolyBot

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Traders

Sprinh

0xbfcffde37ea2e49cb48764cdd10c5ba3cf314e07

Realised P&L
$38.56
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$2.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.920$2.12$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 05:18Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.997$99.90
05-26 05:24Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.998$100.00
04-20 05:07Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.989$128.90
04-18 09:19Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.991$128.00
04-18 09:19Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.989$127.58
04-18 09:19Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.991$129.00
04-06 07:54Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.991$202.79
04-06 07:53Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.9907704749$201.54
04-06 07:53Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.993$115.88
04-04 08:47Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$203.00
04-04 08:46Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9929999988$202.00
04-04 08:44Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.994$116.00
02-16 08:26Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.994$83.74
02-15 08:54Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.997$84.00
12-31 05:59Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00