Sprinh
0xbfcffde37ea2e49cb48764cdd10c5ba3cf314e07
- Realised P&L
- $38.56
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $2.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.920 | $2.12 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.27at 0.547Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$2.80at 0.641Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?
- +$1.64at 0.610Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
- +$0.67at 0.750Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.33at 0.860Will Kamala win 60% of college graduates?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 05:18 | Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $99.90 |
| 05-26 05:24 | Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 04-20 05:07 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.989 | $128.90 |
| 04-18 09:19 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.991 | $128.00 |
| 04-18 09:19 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.989 | $127.58 |
| 04-18 09:19 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.991 | $129.00 |
| 04-06 07:54 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $202.79 |
| 04-06 07:53 | Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.9907704749 | $201.54 |
| 04-06 07:53 | Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $115.88 |
| 04-04 08:47 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $203.00 |
| 04-04 08:46 | Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $202.00 |
| 04-04 08:44 | Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.994 | $116.00 |
| 02-16 08:26 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $83.74 |
| 02-15 08:54 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $84.00 |
| 12-31 05:59 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |