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0xbf72fcfddf79b2bad557096149f1dfccbc472a2c
- Realised P&L
- $-271.88
- Volume
- $43.3k
- Markets traded
- 315
- Open portfolio
- $23.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded315
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.76at 0.686Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
- +$41.73at 0.104Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$41.64at 0.097Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?
- +$40.61at 0.190Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
- +$39.13at 0.070Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:23 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999165 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 16:10 | Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | BUY | 0.939999985 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 03:08 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 00:15 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.8899999288 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 00:11 | Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.8679993139 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 00:10 | Will BP be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.25 |
| 08-01 17:31 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.25 |
| 08-01 14:41 | UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.8199993571 | $1.25 |
| 08-01 14:08 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.899999784 | $1.25 |
| 08-01 14:08 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.28 |
| 08-01 14:07 | UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.88 | $1.25 |
| 08-01 14:07 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.25 |
| 08-01 14:06 | UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6699998767 | $1.25 |
| 08-01 14:06 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.23 |
| 08-01 12:49 | UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6099999073 | $1.25 |