PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

arrowbets

0xbf72fcfddf79b2bad557096149f1dfccbc472a2c

Realised P&L
$-271.88
Volume
$43.3k
Markets traded
315
Open portfolio
$23.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded315
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.5200.705$1.69+$0.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5300.565$1.33+$0.08
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.8900.945$1.33+$0.08
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.905$1.32+$0.07
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? · No0.8680.900$1.30+$0.05
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9520.985$1.29+$0.04
Will BP be acquired before 2027? · No0.9500.970$1.28+$0.03
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.950$1.26+$0.00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.875$1.26+$0.01
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · No0.5000.500$1.25+$0.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.935$1.25$0.01
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No0.9600.955$1.24$0.01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · No0.8800.870$1.24$0.01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.885$1.23$0.02
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · No0.9400.910$1.21$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:23Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999165$1.25
08-02 16:10Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?BUY0.939999985$1.25
08-02 03:08Major CEX insolvent in 2026?BUY0.96$1.25
08-02 00:15Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?BUY0.8899999288$1.25
08-02 00:11Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?BUY0.8679993139$1.25
08-02 00:10Will BP be acquired before 2027?BUY0.95$1.25
08-01 17:31Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$1.25
08-01 14:41UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)BUY0.8199993571$1.25
08-01 14:08Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.899999784$1.25
08-01 14:08Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?SELL0.9$1.28
08-01 14:07UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.88$1.25
08-01 14:07Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$1.25
08-01 14:06UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)BUY0.6699998767$1.25
08-01 14:06Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.59$1.23
08-01 12:49UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.6099999073$1.25