djs2198
0xbec88d1a31572143b6491929678d271bcd5d637c
- Realised P&L
- $14.46
- Volume
- $337.39
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $6.02
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.963 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.980 | 0.981 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.984 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.30at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$2.08at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$1.24at 0.959Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 23:54 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? | BUY | 0.9429993474 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 12:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 09:53 | Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | BUY | 0.9869999956 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 15:27 | Will BTS perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 09:21 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 05:44 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 10:15 | Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 12:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9639998708 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 14:11 | Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in the US in June? | BUY | 0.9889999955 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 11:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 09:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969995269 | $2.00 |
| 06-02 09:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9959995638 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 08:33 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.9889998383 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 01:51 | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BUY | 0.9839996576 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 14:46 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9879997431 | $2.00 |