0xBe99a028F7C6a5228fEcC7fA3DAd1d7C3c709CA7-1776186948736
0xbe99a028f7c6a5228fecc7fa3dad1d7c3c709ca7
- Realised P&L
- $-861.46
- Volume
- $81.4k
- Markets traded
- 688
- Open portfolio
- $187.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded688
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.20at 0.075Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16?
- +$278.52at 0.092Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?
- +$221.30at 0.142Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 23?
- +$207.78at 0.118Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 5?
- +$180.46at 0.122Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.248 | $9.92 |
| 08-06 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3769593311 | $9.92 |
| 08-06 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3849180967 | $9.87 |
| 08-06 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 08-06 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.99 | $36.65 |
| 08-06 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.69 |
| 08-06 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 08-06 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.39 | $9.75 |
| 08-06 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.386099844 | $9.90 |
| 08-06 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.71 |
| 08-06 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.37 | $9.73 |
| 08-06 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.39 | $6.41 |
| 08-06 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3121984 | $9.76 |
| 08-06 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |