Alex55ua
0xbe1a34ce895c2e730c2c3702095df4752994bd22
- Realised P&L
- $-7.41
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 885
- Open portfolio
- $37.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded885
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.625 | $10.63 | +$0.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 10? · No | 0.570 | 0.525 | $10.50 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 10? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $9.50 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10? · No | 0.400 | 0.375 | $6.38 | −$0.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.595 | $0.71 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.80at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?
- +$19.60at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?
- +$13.68at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?
- +$6.17at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?
- +$5.80at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.80 |
| 08-08 17:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.45 | $5.61 |
| 08-08 17:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.31 |
| 08-08 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.88 |
| 08-08 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.50 |
| 08-08 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 8? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.32 |
| 08-08 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 08-08 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-08 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.16 |
| 08-08 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.54 |
| 08-08 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.91 |
| 08-08 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.35 |
| 08-08 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9? | SELL | 0.5280645161 | $3.27 |
| 08-08 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.41 |
| 08-08 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.84 |