0xbdfcD70D76a01c5558De87f14A3ec50667646690-1783141422711
0xbdfcd70d76a01c5558de87f14a3ec50667646690
- Realised P&L
- $94.04
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $68.61
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.540 | 0.535 | $19.81 | −$0.19 |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5) · New York Liberty | 0.480 | 0.475 | $19.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians · No | 0.560 | 0.565 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.530 | 0.525 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers · San Francisco Giants | 0.410 | 0.405 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.600 | 0.585 | $4.87 | −$0.13 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.480 | 0.315 | $3.28 | −$1.72 |
| Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.84 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.44 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves · Miami Marlins | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.30 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.40at 0.500Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)
- +$18.42at 0.520New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
- +$18.41at 0.490Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5
- +$10.75at 0.085Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$10.16at 0.491France vs. England: O/U 8.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 17:20 | Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5) | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 17:19 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 17:19 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 17:18 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 17:18 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 17:18 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 16:30 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 03:41 | Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 03:34 | Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 169.5 | SELL | 0.941 | $38.40 |
| 08-05 03:16 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | SELL | 0.466002401 | $3.88 |
| 08-05 03:04 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 03:02 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 02:58 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | SELL | 0.269 | $4.17 |
| 08-05 02:57 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | SELL | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-05 02:52 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | SELL | 0.9 | $9.57 |