0xbdCA2027a6aA96191E3E043bC0599b84899f5382-1774132719410
0xbdca2027a6aa96191e3e043bc0599b84899f5382
- Realised P&L
- $-276.68
- Volume
- $22.4k
- Markets traded
- 529
- Open portfolio
- $5.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded529
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty · Las Vegas Aces | 0.433 | 0.450 | $5.48 | +$0.21 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Team Spoon vs. Team Coop · Team Coop | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Vancouver: Harry Wendelken vs Murphy Cassone · Murphy Cassone | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.46at 0.220Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
- +$33.33at 0.270Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5
- +$32.34at 0.310Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5
- +$31.68at 0.260Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)
- +$30.68at 0.340Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 18:09 | Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty | SELL | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 08-08 17:58 | Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.43 | $5.45 |
| 08-08 17:37 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx | SELL | 0.28 | $1.90 |
| 08-08 16:30 | Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky | SELL | 0.32 | $2.46 |
| 08-08 13:25 | Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.34 | $2.61 |
| 08-08 13:04 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynx | BUY | 0.35 | $2.37 |
| 08-06 18:49 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.48 |
| 08-06 14:56 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 14:54 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.91 |
| 08-06 14:54 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 21:50 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | SELL | 0.993 | $1.27 |
| 08-01 21:39 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.79 |
| 08-01 20:47 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:40 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:52 | San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo Varillas | SELL | 0.27 | $0.75 |