PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xbd848c80fbf82d6f31a883660549342935ae1292

Realised P&L
$301.09
Volume
$26.4k
Markets traded
386
Open portfolio
$329.28

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded386
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8630.750$21.73$3.27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.915$20.34+$0.34
Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.7770.745$19.18$0.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7340.565$15.40$4.60
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9400.954$15.22+$0.22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.7160.245$13.71$26.29
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8000.920$11.50+$1.50
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · No0.9200.937$11.20+$0.20
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? · No0.8790.945$10.74+$0.74
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9100.935$10.27+$0.27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9650.981$10.16+$0.16
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No0.9001.000$10.00+$1.00
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$9.62$0.38
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes0.2590.065$8.80$26.20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · Yes0.6301.000$7.94+$2.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 12:47New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9099999827$10.00
07-29 12:44Trump out as President before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-29 12:44Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-29 12:42Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$4.13
07-29 12:40Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9$9.00
07-29 12:39Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.4779999522$5.00
07-29 12:38Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.9199999967$11.00
07-29 12:34Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.8599999533$7.00
07-29 12:30Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3519999542$4.00
07-29 12:25US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9399999987$15.00
07-29 12:17Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6909999587$5.00
07-29 12:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7679999717$5.00
07-29 12:09Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
07-29 12:04WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 29?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
07-28 14:49Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?SELL0.93$5.34