0xbd848c80fbf82d6f31a883660549342935ae1292
- Realised P&L
- $301.09
- Volume
- $26.4k
- Markets traded
- 386
- Open portfolio
- $329.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded386
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.84at 0.363Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$60.43at 0.292US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$50.88at 0.281Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$42.15at 0.106Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
- +$33.78at 0.382Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:47 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 12:44 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 12:44 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 12:42 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.13 |
| 07-29 12:40 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 07-29 12:39 | Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4779999522 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 12:38 | Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9199999967 | $11.00 |
| 07-29 12:34 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.8599999533 | $7.00 |
| 07-29 12:30 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3519999542 | $4.00 |
| 07-29 12:25 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999987 | $15.00 |
| 07-29 12:17 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6909999587 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 12:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7679999717 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 12:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 12:04 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 29? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 14:49 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | SELL | 0.93 | $5.34 |