JamieIstanbul
0xbd3188f4a3c0413ad630cd9c89d8dfc3c9c997a4
- Realised P&L
- $-616.90
- Volume
- $154.1k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $39.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$516.48at 0.893Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
- +$443.21at 0.749Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$327.04at 0.871Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
- +$320.37at 0.938Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$217.35at 0.851Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:49 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August? | BUY | 0.7770386443 | $225.61 |
| 08-03 04:48 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August? | BUY | 0.5690988285 | $189.45 |
| 07-29 07:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $210.00 |
| 07-29 07:18 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8292998539 | $62.42 |
| 07-29 07:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $272.50 |
| 07-29 07:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8198243333 | $245.95 |
| 07-29 07:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $60.00 |
| 07-29 07:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $190.73 |
| 07-29 07:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $222.83 |
| 07-29 07:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $224.46 |
| 07-29 07:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $73.00 |
| 07-29 07:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $165.47 |
| 07-29 07:13 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? | BUY | 0.929 | $557.40 |
| 07-29 05:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? | BUY | 0.926 | $322.35 |
| 07-29 05:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? | BUY | 0.925 | $18.50 |