dekolp
0xbd1e871b2b24f1ed23424461c359b08e748125a7
- Realised P&L
- $-353.29
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $15.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cloud9 be a 2027 VCT Americas partner team? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.405 | $8.10 | −$3.90 |
| Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.105 | $4.20 | −$8.20 |
| Will Nongshim RedForce be a 2027 VCT Pacific partner team? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.135 | $2.70 | −$3.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.91at 0.050Will none of the eaglets hatch before April 17?
- +$0.50at 0.961Will the first eaglet hatch on April 13, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.620Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.580Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?
- +$0.00at 0.350Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 12:32 | Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.17 |
| 08-05 12:31 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 08-05 12:30 | Will Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 105m by August 31? | SELL | 0.067145 | $1.34 |
| 08-05 12:29 | Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-05 12:29 | Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | SELL | 0.063 | $1.89 |
| 08-05 12:29 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 12:29 | Will BBL Esports Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.57 |
| 08-05 12:29 | Beezie FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-05 12:29 | Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 08-05 12:28 | Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? | SELL | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 08-05 12:28 | Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament | SELL | 0.61 | $7.19 |
| 08-05 12:28 | Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 08-05 12:27 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | SELL | 0.203 | $8.12 |
| 08-05 12:27 | Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-05 12:27 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $9.20 |