theOwlAndRake
0xbcc6b2dde139bfddcb87863e642391cc4b0e095f
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $24.3k
- Markets traded
- 685
- Open portfolio
- $168.82
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded685
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.330 | 0.325 | $81.90 | −$1.26 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Minnesota Twins | 0.290 | 0.285 | $56.13 | −$1.00 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals · Cincinnati Reds | 0.490 | 0.165 | $28.21 | −$55.57 |
| New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.52 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.45 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Seattle Mariners | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.77 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves · Washington Nationals | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.24 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.02 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.68 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins · Kansas City Royals | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.51 |
| Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins · Athletics | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.05 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers · Kansas City Royals | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.28 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.68 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$478.38at 0.330Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$434.16at 0.330Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$381.15at 0.370Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
- +$350.91at 0.370Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$299.72at 0.410Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 15:20 | Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.29 | $57.13 |
| 08-09 15:20 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.33 | $83.16 |
| 08-09 11:20 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.49 | $83.79 |
| 08-06 19:20 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.25 | $33.00 |
| 08-05 15:20 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.35 | $74.20 |
| 08-04 19:20 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.28 | $44.24 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $13.76 |
| 08-02 15:20 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.38 | $11.02 |
| 08-01 23:20 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.38 | $11.02 |
| 07-31 23:20 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.43 | $6.45 |
| 07-31 23:20 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.44 | $8.36 |
| 07-31 23:20 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.4 | $14.40 |
| 07-31 19:20 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.44 | $6.60 |
| 07-31 19:20 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.47 | $20.21 |
| 07-31 19:20 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.37 | $23.31 |