0xbc8d2f8db6dedb1c77b27bdaa9fea384eb21f143
- Realised P&L
- $-65.12
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $3.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.729 | 0.747 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.205 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.101 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.024 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.029 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.61at 0.912Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$3.59at 0.730Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$3.06at 0.620Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$1.77at 0.530Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff
- +$1.26at 0.790BNB Up or Down - July 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 11:33 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.12 |
| 07-27 21:02 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0542635158 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 20:58 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.7699996474 | $1.90 |
| 07-27 20:57 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0370000014 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 20:49 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.02 |
| 07-25 20:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.89 |
| 07-25 20:49 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $0.99 |
| 07-25 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 09:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.2109999387 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 09:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | BUY | 0.1269999486 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 09:05 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.7289998622 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 09:04 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 09:01 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 09:01 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.13 |