PolyBot

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Traders

0xbc8d2f8db6dedb1c77b27bdaa9fea384eb21f143

Realised P&L
$-65.12
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$3.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7290.747$1.02+$0.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? · Yes0.2300.205$0.89$0.11
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1300.101$0.77$0.23
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0370.024$0.64$0.36
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0540.029$0.54$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 12:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-30 11:33Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.86$2.12
07-27 21:02Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0542635158$1.00
07-27 20:58Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.7699996474$1.90
07-27 20:57Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0370000014$1.00
07-25 20:49Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.75$1.02
07-25 20:49Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.72$0.89
07-25 20:49Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.957$0.99
07-25 09:12Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
07-25 09:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?BUY0.2109999387$2.00
07-25 09:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?BUY0.1269999486$2.00
07-25 09:05Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.7289998622$1.00
07-25 09:04Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-25 09:01Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
07-25 09:01Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?SELL0.94$1.13