0xbbbc471256eabae4659ebc9032ee7a9a8f977f67
- Realised P&L
- $-7.67
- Volume
- $811.16
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $0.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.005 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.67at 0.136Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?
- +$4.41at 0.049Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1?
- +$3.56at 0.360Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?
- +$3.37at 0.229Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
- +$2.34at 0.270Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.38 |
| 08-05 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 19:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.019600541 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.539999946 | $1.40 |
| 08-05 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $1.57 |
| 08-05 18:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $3.11 |
| 08-05 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999064 | $1.50 |
| 08-05 14:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $1.53 |
| 08-05 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 13:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $1.91 |
| 08-04 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 22:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $1.75 |