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0xbB65c09B27d1E732D69f59438e86D10682AA309b-1774198045318

0xbb65c09b27d1e732d69f59438e86d10682aa309b

Realised P&L
$-69.38
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.1070.965$929.65+$826.92
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.2500.295$140.37+$21.46
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.1720.355$113.40+$58.40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1640.085$103.89$96.11
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.5720.009$7.39$462.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.2310.000$0.00$177.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:53Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.41$4.10
08-02 22:01Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
08-02 21:53Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.0512529752$25.00
08-02 21:36Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.05$0.72
08-02 21:36Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.049$6.62
08-02 21:34Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.0489999955$10.00
08-02 21:34Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.02$0.77
08-02 20:45Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.2371876385$74.91
08-02 20:45Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.1799999976$50.00
08-02 19:33Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.6000388256$230.00
08-02 19:25Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.5480894508$240.00
08-01 20:08Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?SELL0.5283870968$65.52
08-01 09:48Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.08$10.00
07-29 22:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?SELL0.51$2.88
07-29 22:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?BUY0.5191347749$300.00
Trader 0xbB65c09B27d1E732D69f59438e86D10682AA309b-1774198045318 · PolyBot