0xBAB7bd74852F863738994ce3595A4e19aAf7C59C-1763034284482
0xbab7bd74852f863738994ce3595a4e19aaf7c59c
- Realised P&L
- $-11.74
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 353
- Open portfolio
- $94.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded353
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $59.86 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $29.41 | −$0.09 |
| Will Joshua James be the TN-04 Republican nominee? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $5.19 | −$0.00 |
| Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? · No | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.27at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.10at 0.996Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.07at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on July 8?
- +$0.06at 0.991Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 29?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:54 | Will Joshua James be the TN-04 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.19 |
| 08-05 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999819 | $31.40 |
| 08-05 18:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.50 |
| 08-05 13:01 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.20 |
| 08-05 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.9982745805 | $28.50 |
| 07-31 03:15 | Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.51 |
| 07-31 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.70 |
| 07-30 19:19 | Kash Patel out by July 31? | BUY | 0.9989999296 | $14.00 |
| 07-30 19:01 | Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9987897121 | $28.50 |
| 07-30 18:24 | Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.50 |
| 07-30 18:23 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $34.96 |
| 07-30 16:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July? | BUY | 0.9979999934 | $5.73 |
| 07-30 13:11 | Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.51 |
| 07-30 10:51 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.00 |
| 07-30 08:27 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.60 |