0xbab67ef04bd0371f50ae846d7611a2087e1161e2
- Realised P&L
- $-158.74
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $30.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10? · No | 0.876 | 0.895 | $9.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10? · Yes | 0.853 | 0.855 | $9.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11? · No | 0.806 | 0.805 | $5.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.780 | $5.85 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.62at 0.036Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$16.84at 0.782Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$12.17at 0.871Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$10.02at 0.832Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$9.65at 0.900Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 11:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $4.00 |
| 08-09 11:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-09 11:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.88999998 | $4.00 |
| 08-09 11:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.00 |
| 08-09 11:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 11:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.59 |
| 08-08 21:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 21:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 21:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.859999656 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 21:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 00:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 00:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 00:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.9599998618 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 00:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 18:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.9499999466 | $8.00 |