PolyBot

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0xBA73866a72904FE66A9276FE84269E6C25b23A33-1772371088741

0xba73866a72904fe66a9276fe84269e6c25b23a33

Realised P&L
$-23.84
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
472
Open portfolio
$18.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded472
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.845$8.78+$0.78
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8600.945$4.40+$0.40
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1000.073$4.38$1.62
Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.0180.003$0.70$4.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.5490.000$0.00$4.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up0.3990.000$0.00$4.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.6740.000$0.00$9.88
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.0300.000$0.00$0.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · No0.8500.000$0.00$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00$9.89
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Los Angeles Dodgers0.8400.000$0.00$4.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00$1.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$0.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$2.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 21:28China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1$6.00
06-15 20:46US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.53$6.46
06-12 11:21Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0645481054$1.00
06-12 11:20Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.0179533617$5.00
06-12 11:17US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
06-12 10:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.39$10.83
06-08 23:22US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
06-08 23:21Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.87$5.24
06-05 19:35Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999956$5.00
05-24 10:59Iran closes its airspace by May 31?SELL0.771$5.35
05-20 21:42Iran closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.7199998618$5.00
05-20 16:35Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.167$5.00
05-18 22:18Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999846$8.00
05-18 21:52US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.83$8.03
05-18 18:11US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999235$9.00