0xBA73866a72904FE66A9276FE84269E6C25b23A33-1772371088741
0xba73866a72904fe66a9276fe84269e6c25b23a33
- Realised P&L
- $-23.84
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 472
- Open portfolio
- $18.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded472
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.82at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$54.07at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$27.12at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$24.51at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
- +$24.00at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 21:28 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 06-15 20:46 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $6.46 |
| 06-12 11:21 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0645481054 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 11:20 | Will Carlo Calenda be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.0179533617 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 11:17 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 10:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $10.83 |
| 06-08 23:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 23:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.24 |
| 06-05 19:35 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999956 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 10:59 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL | 0.771 | $5.35 |
| 05-20 21:42 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.7199998618 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 16:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.167 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 22:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $8.00 |
| 05-18 21:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.03 |
| 05-18 18:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999235 | $9.00 |