PolyBot

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Traders

0xb9f30f8710570523f8252c411e06bb6d89bd1624

Realised P&L
$-9.80
Volume
$236.45
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$27.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.2360.275$17.53+$2.45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? · No0.7200.795$5.61+$0.53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.4900.405$4.20$0.88
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2700.032$0.59$4.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 09:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?BUY0.7199999773$5.08
08-08 09:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.4899999952$5.08
08-07 01:00Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2699999729$5.08
08-06 16:29Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable?BUY0.7199999773$5.08
08-06 11:35US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
08-06 08:12US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.2299999706$5.08
08-06 00:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.16$3.69
08-06 00:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.13$2.64
08-06 00:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.33$4.93
08-06 00:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3399999665$5.08
08-05 16:10SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.4$5.08
08-05 08:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.2199999671$5.08
08-05 00:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.25$5.08