0xb9f30f8710570523f8252c411e06bb6d89bd1624
- Realised P&L
- $-9.80
- Volume
- $236.45
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $27.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No | 0.236 | 0.275 | $17.53 | +$2.45 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.795 | $5.61 | +$0.53 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.405 | $4.20 | −$0.88 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.032 | $0.59 | −$4.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.98at 0.720Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable?
- +$-0.15at 0.340US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$-1.39at 0.220US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$-2.44at 0.250US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
- +$-5.08at 0.400SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999773 | $5.08 |
| 08-08 09:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999952 | $5.08 |
| 08-07 01:00 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999729 | $5.08 |
| 08-06 16:29 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.7199999773 | $5.08 |
| 08-06 11:35 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 08:12 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.2299999706 | $5.08 |
| 08-06 00:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.69 |
| 08-06 00:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.64 |
| 08-06 00:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.93 |
| 08-06 00:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999665 | $5.08 |
| 08-05 16:10 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.08 |
| 08-05 08:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.2199999671 | $5.08 |
| 08-05 00:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.08 |