Senaxx
0xb9e9e6d0e747202bd9575602701d5bc7641bf1cc
- Realised P&L
- $985.16
- Volume
- $202.5k
- Markets traded
- 970
- Open portfolio
- $57.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded970
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.600 | $43.12 | +$2.16 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 5? · No | 0.540 | 0.980 | $11.72 | +$5.26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? · No | 0.805 | 0.025 | $2.43 | −$75.79 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$8.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$4.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$424.20at 0.349Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?
- +$283.55at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?
- +$246.86at 0.174Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$194.34at 0.309Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?
- +$156.67at 0.978Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $16.30 |
| 08-05 15:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $14.39 |
| 08-05 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $19.07 |
| 08-05 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $17.50 |
| 08-05 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $25.45 |
| 08-05 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $15.59 |
| 08-05 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $15.59 |
| 08-05 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $223.71 |
| 08-05 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $55.80 |
| 08-05 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $62.88 |
| 08-05 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $62.63 |
| 08-05 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $15.66 |
| 08-05 14:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $15.66 |
| 08-05 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $15.73 |
| 08-05 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $15.54 |