CarGena
0xb95726df1b0a9bfbde2c0499ab964027caefacb6
- Realised P&L
- $285.08
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$261.42at 0.069Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$9.22at 0.730Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$4.50at 0.700Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
- +$-2.40at 0.981Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:01 | Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9256909765 | $89.87 |
| 07-13 18:06 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.8160614525 | $175.29 |
| 07-13 15:00 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.183585638 | $22.70 |
| 07-13 12:57 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.78 |
| 07-13 11:18 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.067 | $1.44 |
| 07-13 10:33 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.981 | $196.35 |
| 07-13 10:32 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.071 | $21.26 |
| 07-12 18:02 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.16 |
| 07-10 19:32 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |