PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CarGena

0xb95726df1b0a9bfbde2c0499ab964027caefacb6

Realised P&L
$285.08
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar14.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 12:01Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9256909765$89.87
07-13 18:06Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.8160614525$175.29
07-13 15:00Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.183585638$22.70
07-13 12:57Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.05$10.78
07-13 11:18Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.067$1.44
07-13 10:33Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.981$196.35
07-13 10:32Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.071$21.26
07-12 18:02Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.73$10.16
07-10 19:32Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?BUY0.7$10.50