laiwoliao
0xb955fd6ef49f64b58ea9daef4ef6c3308bae984b
- Realised P&L
- $-273.34
- Volume
- $141.3k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $0.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.98at 0.982Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 8?
- +$4.01at 0.947New Orleans Privateers vs. McNeese State Cowboys
- +$3.80at 0.986Will BNB dip to $800 in December?
- +$3.70at 0.956Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?
- +$3.69at 0.950Air Force Falcons vs. Colorado State Rams
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 00:33 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 7? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.40 |
| 05-22 19:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23? | BUY | 0.0180000004 | $1.14 |
| 04-26 23:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27? | BUY | 0.0250033929 | $1.75 |
| 04-12 17:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 13? | BUY | 0.0280022621 | $2.64 |
| 04-01 05:29 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 1? | BUY | 0.061132754 | $1.32 |
| 03-30 21:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 31? | BUY | 0.0140000002 | $1.59 |
| 03-28 00:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28? | BUY | 0.0370036681 | $2.36 |
| 03-24 22:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 25? | BUY | 0.0070021861 | $1.63 |
| 03-22 03:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0110000002 | $1.13 |
| 03-17 04:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 17? | BUY | 0.0330000004 | $3.27 |
| 02-27 15:37 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $67.41 |
| 01-27 22:19 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 28? | BUY | 0.0130000002 | $1.46 |
| 01-27 07:49 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 27? | BUY | 0.0240000003 | $2.36 |
| 01-26 15:16 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 26? | BUY | 0.0239999913 | $2.65 |
| 01-26 11:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 26? | BUY | 0.0239999915 | $2.71 |