0xb905Ed3262Be858D43c6601048c5A95494A8088C-1781606810867
0xb905ed3262be858d43c6601048c5a95494a8088c
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $97.6k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$980.69at 0.393Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$856.80at 0.742Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$673.74at 0.720Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$640.70at 0.620Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 10:06 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.6859357768 | $563.52 |
| 08-06 10:06 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.9284309517 | $1000.00 |
| 08-06 10:05 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.9097220799 | $800.00 |
| 08-06 10:04 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.5521187107 | $2.4k |
| 08-05 18:05 | Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.7751766896 | $448.41 |
| 08-05 18:03 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.8108826292 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 18:01 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.8727509306 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 17:58 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.7674544961 | $56.50 |
| 08-05 17:57 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.698749391 | $188.00 |
| 08-05 17:57 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 17:54 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.5421894049 | $1.0k |
| 07-21 12:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $1.69 |
| 07-21 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $11.92 |