PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders, no custody

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Traders

0xb905Ed3262Be858D43c6601048c5A95494A8088C-1781606810867

0xb905ed3262be858d43c6601048c5a95494a8088c

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$97.6k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes0.9200.865$1.7k$107.65
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.7160.665$1.0k$79.24
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.7750.645$373.11$75.30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4410.000$0.00$400.00
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$221.26
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$826.70
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.12
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Curaçao? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$85.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.1740.000$0.00$200.00
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 · Under0.5100.000$0.00$717.11
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$85.50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$54.58
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$3.05
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$33.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 10:06Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.6859357768$563.52
08-06 10:06Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.9284309517$1000.00
08-06 10:05Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.9097220799$800.00
08-06 10:04Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.5521187107$2.4k
08-05 18:05Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.7751766896$448.41
08-05 18:03Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.8108826292$100.00
08-05 18:01Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.8727509306$100.00
08-05 17:58Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.7674544961$56.50
08-05 17:57Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.698749391$188.00
08-05 17:57Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.689999999$100.00
08-05 17:54Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.5421894049$1.0k
07-21 12:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.1$1.69
07-21 12:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.5899999705$5.00
07-21 12:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.5899999705$5.00
07-21 12:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSELL0.99$11.92