singb
0xb87c26983170a6ea8109725f25d8247bd0aed60d
- Realised P&L
- $-189.17
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $73.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.141 | $29.15 | +$11.15 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.148 | $16.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.054 | $12.86 | +$2.86 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions · Samsung Lions | 0.970 | 0.474 | $4.75 | −$4.95 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.188 | $3.59 | −$1.41 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.089 | $3.44 | +$1.44 |
| KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers · Kia Tigers | 0.640 | 0.435 | $2.17 | −$1.02 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.255 | $1.27 | −$0.63 |
| Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.10at 0.163Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
- +$16.30at 0.439Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.40at 0.280Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$13.40at 0.330Hawks vs. Knicks
- +$12.60at 0.370Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 16:04 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1329999934 | $15.00 |
| 06-04 04:50 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0959999833 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 11:36 | Centurion: Edward Winter vs Robert Strombachs | SELL | 0.74 | $1.48 |
| 05-29 11:35 | KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 05-29 11:33 | Centurion: Edward Winter vs Robert Strombachs | BUY | 0.76 | $1.52 |
| 05-29 11:30 | KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles | BUY | 0.82 | $0.56 |
| 05-29 10:59 | Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BUY | 0.52 | $1.04 |
| 05-29 10:49 | Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva | BUY | 0.36 | $1.44 |
| 05-29 06:01 | New York Yankees vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 05-29 02:12 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 05-28 19:53 | Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima | SELL | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 05-28 19:13 | Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapova | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 05-28 19:10 | Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 05-28 14:34 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.45 | $2.92 |
| 05-28 08:42 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.051999976 | $2.00 |