JesusOTB
0xb85aacca089de6425057acdaad5c1efec8e89bdb
- Realised P&L
- $-0.14
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $16.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.692 | 0.455 | $16.69 | −$8.69 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.41at 0.240Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
- +$4.04at 0.690Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$2.44at 0.640Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$0.65at 0.950Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 13:49 | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6918224269 | $25.38 |
| 07-11 21:38 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.4225 | $26.42 |
| 07-06 21:54 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399999904 | $15.01 |
| 07-05 21:51 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.44 |
| 07-05 21:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.64 | $13.00 |
| 07-04 23:08 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.25 |
| 07-04 22:55 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.9499999849 | $12.60 |
| 07-04 20:49 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 00:05 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.68999999 | $9.00 |
| 07-03 20:17 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 18:00 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.38999998 | $8.00 |