0xb7FaA4EF0F22C3ddab3304EdcE71009f936f6602-1779811430078
0xb7faa4ef0f22c3ddab3304edce71009f936f6602
- Realised P&L
- $-31.68
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $218.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.60at 0.849Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8?
- +$7.57at 0.346Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
- +$5.05at 0.960Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 7?
- +$3.80at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?
- +$3.33at 0.900Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 05:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.00 |
| 08-09 05:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9399999995 | $40.00 |
| 08-09 00:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9471585242 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $143.60 |
| 08-09 00:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.9773945443 | $70.00 |
| 08-08 17:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $30.00 |
| 08-08 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $103.80 |
| 08-08 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.7960199005 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8675361966 | $70.00 |
| 08-08 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.997 | $71.57 |
| 08-08 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.22 |
| 08-08 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8199999988 | $40.00 |
| 08-08 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.962397062 | $100.00 |