PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

9283

0xb76e5d6e758274968204f4fbf74d3882b65f70bc

Realised P&L
$2.59
Volume
$361.31
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$8.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9770.962$3.93$0.07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9500.963$2.03+$0.03
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes0.9840.984$2.00+$0.00
Will Ben Randall win the 2026 PLL Defensive Player of the Year? · Yes0.9600.330$0.69$1.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 12:21Will Apple say "iPhone" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.9889999955$2.00
07-20 10:16Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9769999946$2.00
07-20 10:16Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9779998709$2.00
07-13 08:02Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?BUY0.95$2.00
07-10 02:04Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?BUY0.984$2.00
07-02 01:56Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?BUY0.98$2.00
06-26 02:24Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9879997431$2.00
06-24 02:15Will Ben Randall win the 2026 PLL Defensive Player of the Year?BUY0.96$2.00
06-23 10:04Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9819999863$1.00
06-23 10:04Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.981999999$2.00
06-18 12:57Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9639998708$2.00
06-18 12:57Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9639998708$2.00
06-13 14:38Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.95$2.00
06-09 11:37Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.9399997556$2.00
06-04 11:59GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?BUY0.9789997879$3.00